Two years ago I took the plunge and decided to try out the phenomena that is Daily Fantasy College Football. I was apprehensive at first, thinking the sheer volume of players would impede my ability to manufacture a confident, well-thought-out lineup. As I dove into to the fantasy abyss, my hesitation gradually turned into infatuation, as I realized this daily fantasy game was not like it’s older cousins (MLB, NBA) or even it’s big brother (NFL).
As it turned out, gathering information on college teams and players wasn’t overwhelming (if you use the tips/resources listed below). The diversity in teams and competition across the College Football landscape presents a unique (and lucrative) opportunity for any daily fantasy player looking to seize the opportunity that is CFB DFS.
That’s where FantasyAces comes in, as they are rolling out a new College Football daily fantasy product this season. You can expect the sharp player salaries, roster flexibility, and wide array of weekly contests you have grown accustomed to for all the other major sports at FantasyAces.
Speaking of roster flexibility, I need to further elaborate, because it’s a pretty big deal. FantasyAces will have the following College Football lineup spots:
- 2 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, 2 FLEX (WR/RB)
The really cool thing about this array of roster spots is that you are allowed 2 QB’s (more on why that is important later on), and 2 FLEX positions. Having two of these FLEX spots really allows you to diversify yourself from the competition, choosing from plenty of capable WRs and RBs to propel your team to the top of the leaderboard.
So now that you are aware of the wonder that is Daily Fantasy College Football, here are “5 Winning Tips” that will make your experience enjoyable, rewarding, and profitable.
1. Pay attention to the Vegas odds
This should be your starting place for College Football research every week. Which games are projected to be high scoring? Which games could be blowouts?
The best recipe for fantasy success is to find games with a high projected over/under (usually above 55-60) and a low point spread (one team favored by 10 or less). This indicates the potential for a competitive, back-and-forth style of game with plenty of offense (and fantasy numbers).
Likewise, you want to take into consideration the “blowout factor.” A lot of college teams have the ability to steamroll a cupcake opponent by 40+ points. When you see a high point spread (like 28-30+), you need to consider that the regular starters may not see four quarters of action if their team has a substantial lead. Definitely weigh that scenario before selecting a high-dollar player if their talents may not be needed as much that day. This holds especially true for expensive WRs, as a team may decide to concentrate on running the ball after building a healthy lead, thus limiting the potential for receiving stats.
2. Key in on matchups
This may seem obvious, but like any other fantasy sport, it’s all about the matchups. It isn’t too hard to find this information once the season gets rolling along, as any major sports outlet provides these stats/rankings. Look for teams that are weak against the run/pass (ranking in the bottom 1/3 in NCAA) and target players lining up against them. You can combine this tidbit with the Vegas odds to screen for optimal plays each week.
Here’s an example from last season:
Colorado State and Washington State met in the New Mexico Bowl last year, and the over/under was set at 66 total points. After seeing this high total, you would want to investigate the weaknesses of each team to predict where the fantasy production is likely to come from. After looking at the stats, here’s what was uncovered:
- Colorado State’s defense had a ranking of 117 (of 125) at defending the pass. Washington State’s offense ranked 5th in total passing. Definitely target WSU’s QB (Halliday ended up with 410 yards, 6 TD’s) along with their WR1 (Marks) & WR2 (Mayle).
- Washington State’s defense ranked 91st in running defense, and CSU boasted one of the leaders in rushing TD’s at the time, Kapri Bibbs. This proved to be an extremely favorable spot for him, as he went on to run for 169 yards and 3 TD’s.
3. Let a star QB lead you to the promised land
The Quarterback gets all the highlights, glory, and fame, but it’s warranted in the daily fantasy world, as they have the most potential to lead your team to riches week in and week out. In college football, there are several QB’s with the ability to pass and rush their way to a monster stat line. Remember, Passing TD’s are worth 4 points, while Rushing TD’s are worth 6, which makes a dual-threat QB all the more valuable by giving you a little bit of both. Here are some of the top mobile QB options to keep an eye on heading into the 2014 season:
- Marcus Mariota – Oregon
- Braxton Miller – Ohio State
- Bryce Petty – Baylor
- Taysom Hill – BYU
- Dak Prescott – Mississippi State
4. Double-check your work
Once you peruse the Vegas odds and matchups to screen for players, look to see who everyone else is talking about. This will help “fill in the holes” of what you may have missed, and it should give you a better idea of the College Football landscape for that particular week.
This year, FantasyAces will have a weekly article outlining top player picks and value/sleeper plays. You can use this article as a valuable tool to give you a “starter pack” when constructing your lineups.
5. Build multiple lineups to cover your basis
Since daily fantasy college football is a weekly event with a relatively large player pool, it makes sense to create multiple lineups to help spread risk and increase your odds of winning. For instance, let’s say you can’t decide whether to insert Braxton Miller or Marcus Mariota into your tournament team (assuming they are similarly priced). Why not have one team with Miller and the other with Mariota, mixing and matching some of your favorite RB and WR plays between the two lineups? It is extremely beneficial to “cast a big net” in daily CFB, especially given the variance and in-game injury risk associated with the sport.
It’s important to remember that there is no such thing as a “right answer” in CFB DFS. You may think you have an optimal lineup constructed, but if your star QB twists his ankle in the first quarter, all those entries may be compromised. With such a large player pool, it only makes sense to diversify your action amongst a group of your favorite targeted players for that week.
For all of your Daily Fantasy College Football needs, make sure to visit FantasyAces.