I went 5-11 in Week 1. Great start, right? Ok, maybe not, but who said the Oregon State approach won’t pay off?
A couple of twists here and there and I’m 8-8. And really, who saw some of this stuff coming? How does Buffalo cover when Urban jumps out to a 23-0 lead? What about Rice getting pummeled in the second and third quarters, yet still beating the spread? It was a painful first week. But hey, at least I didn’t tear an ACL by celebrating; I get to come back and do it again.
Here are some lessons learned in Week 1:
- Never trust Lane Kiffin. He will let you down. (How am I just now learning this?)
- Les Miles and I will be going round and round all year. He scares the hell out of me, but betting him is like a drug. We’re going to be the Sid and Nancy of picks this year.
- South Carolina is the real USC; everyone else is an imposter.
- Florida plays poorly in opening games. They like playing down to opponents.
- When Oregon is involved, 58 points really isn’t that large of a spread.
- Johnny Manziel = Instant Offense
- FSU’s quarterback pronounces his name Jay-miss; not Jah-me-iss
- Always bet against Lane Kiffin. Life is more fun when rooting against him. Even if you lose, you still win.
Here are this week’s picks. All picks are against the spread and the home team in caps.
#2 Oregon (-22 ½) over VIRGINIA
I got greedy and took the points against the Big O. That one hurt. I’m not too worried about their trip east. Puddles is going to do a lot of push-ups in this one
#3 OHIO ST (-28 ½) over San Diego State
Let’s see if we can close this one out, Urb. How’s that sound? Set Braxton loose.
South Carolina St. (+52 ½) over #4 CLEMSON
Yeah, yeah, I know that I learned not to get too excited over the points. But 52 ½? Now that’s just too enticing. I see Tajh Boyd going off early and then sitting in the second half. SCSU can lose by 50 and we can still win. I’ll take it.
#5 STANFORD (-25 ½) over San Jose State
Maybe Stanford comes out bloated and rusty in a Saturday late game. Maybe San Jose plays them close the whole way. Or maybe The Cardinal makes a statement and blows the doors off its foe. I’m betting the latter.
#6 South Carolina (+3 ½) over #11 UGA
Spurrier owns Georgia. It’s the one school he relishes beating over any other. You could probably flip a coin for this game as for who wins. I think the real USC wins outright. Toss in 3 ½ points and that’s just icing on the cake.
#7 TEXAS A&M (-46 ½) over Sam Houston State
I’m not going to sit at home rooting for Johnny Football not to score points. Stop it already.
Eastern Kentucky (+40 ½) over #8 LOUISVILLE
EKU wins the battle; Louisville wins the war. This bettor celebrates the Colonels cover with a KFC Double Down.
#9 LSU (-34 ½) over Alabama-Birmingham
Oh, Leslie. You magnificent son of a gun. What’s five touchdowns between friends? You can do this. I believe in you.
#12 Florida (-2 ½) over MIAMI
Look, I hate Miami. That’s where this one is coming from. The boys of old Florida didn’t look too good last week, but I think Muschamp’s D is good enough to overcome the 2 ½ points. Only bet Miami if you think they will win. They won’t.
#13 OK State (-27 ½) over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
The Cowboys beat Miss St. by 18 last week. They should be able to take down UTSA by at least 28.
#17 MICHIGAN (-3 ½) over #14 Notre Dame
Two great fight songs. The rivalry that launched a thousand lies. It’s tempting to take ND as a higher-ranked underdog. But I drink the Brady Hoke Kool-Aid and am going with Big Blue at home.
Washington St (+15 ½) over #25 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
I love rooting against Lane Kiffin late on Saturday nights. It’s the perfect way to end a long day of football.