The weather is slowly starting to turn, and I’m slowly turning the corner. After imploding in Week 1, I came out on top last week. For the year I’m pushing 12-16. After this week, it’ll be all black.
It wasn’t all roses last week, though. I’ll just say this: I wasn’t shocked one bit by the investigative report Sports Illustrated put out on Oklahoma State. Did you see that monstrosity on Saturday? They were up 42-7 heading into the fourth quarter, gave up 28 points, and allowed UTSA the backdoor cover. What a crock. How much did Mike Gundy lay on the Roadrunners? Somebody get George Dohrmann on the phone.
The trick to this gambling thing is making rules for yourself. Create a code and stand by it. You may lose some games, but overall you’ll come out on top. Here are some codes and lessons learned from the previous weeks.
- Always bet against Lane Kiffin. Win or lose, you’ll have fun rooting against him—this goes doubly for Southern Cal fans.
- Bet against Mack Brown until he gives you reason not to. There’s no stability in that program.
- No spread is too large for Oregon, especially against non-conference foes.
- Will Muschamp hates the point-spread.
- Betting on Les Miles is the most exhilarating money you will ever put on a game
- Vegas overrates Johnny Manziel and Texas A&M
Now on to the lines. All picks are against the spread, home team in caps.
#1 Alabama (-8 ½) over #6 TEXAS A&M
This game comes down to how you feel about Nick Saban and Johnny Football. Has Saban game-planned for one entire year to exact his revenge? Can Manziel keep it within a two-score game, if not win? I like Manziel and think they could very much win the game. But I just have a better feeling about ‘Bama winning this one by 10 points.
#2 OREGON (-25 ½) over Tennessee
Welcome back to Earth, Vols fans. Oregon is systematically picking off rival conferences’ cellar-dwellers.
CAL (+15 ½) over #4 Ohio St.
Braxton Miller is hurt, and Urb runs a complex offense. Sure I’ll take a home underdog getting two touchdowns.
#5 Stanford (-28 ½) over ARMY
Stanford was rusty last week. They should be humming this time. Here’s a tip from my secret menu: no top-10 team should EVER lose to a military academy.
#7 Louisville (-12 ½) over KENTUCKY
Charlie Strong spent enough time in the SEC to not be rattled by their fans. He proved as much in last year’s Sugar Bowl. Plus, Kentucky is a basketball school. Cards in a romp.
#8 LSU (-36 ½) over Kent St.
Ride the wave, Leslie. Ride the wave. You and me, baby. See you down at The Dungeon Bar on Toulouse for some post-game, celebratory Abita Ambers.
#10 FSU (-32 ½) over Nevada
Is Jameis for real? I’ll ride him until he proves otherwise
#25 Ole Miss (+3 ½) at TEXAS
I get to go against Mack Brown and you’re giving me points. Thank you sir, may I have another.
Boston College (+14) over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Bet against Lane Kiffin while you still can.
Wisconsin (+4 ½) over ARIZONA ST
Here’s a bonus one for you. Wisconsin hasn’t given up any points all year, and is posting over 40 per game. Now they’re dogs just because it’s a road game against a team expected to make the leap (seriously, ASU is the Tennessee of the west)? Take the points and enjoy winning the easiest pick of the week.